Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.129915 0.139050 0.148595 0.159330 0.171087 0.183597 0.197943
2025-08-31 0.110033 0.123280 0.137969 0.155549 0.176133 0.199610 0.228612
2025-09-07 0.098968 0.114823 0.133228 0.156371 0.184980 0.219565 0.265119
2025-09-14 0.088424 0.105321 0.125632 0.152167 0.186410 0.229799 0.290080
2025-09-21 0.079436 0.096597 0.117803 0.146378 0.184574 0.234915 0.308109
2025-09-28 0.073119 0.090535 0.112586 0.143126 0.185266 0.242842 0.330190
2025-10-05 0.070302 0.088637 0.112427 0.146310 0.194624 0.263182 0.372035
2025-10-12 0.067497 0.086475 0.111641 0.148399 0.202408 0.281782 0.413345
2025-10-19 0.064127 0.083279 0.109150 0.147768 0.206007 0.294288 0.446373
2025-10-26 0.061250 0.080546 0.107068 0.147468 0.209924 0.307451 0.481920
2025-11-02 0.058262 0.077464 0.104260 0.145821 0.211511 0.316890 0.512061
2025-11-09 0.054790 0.073500 0.099931 0.141538 0.208511 0.318388 0.527946
2025-11-16 0.051919 0.070317 0.096656 0.138785 0.207970 0.324324 0.553638
2025-11-23 0.049366 0.067484 0.093760 0.136456 0.207975 0.331277 0.582518
2025-11-30 0.047871 0.066124 0.092984 0.137412 0.213531 0.348572 0.634678
2025-12-07 0.045400 0.063181 0.089623 0.133930 0.211109 0.350963 0.656078
2025-12-14 0.042775 0.059891 0.085564 0.129039 0.205809 0.347394 0.663987
2025-12-21 0.040830 0.057555 0.082881 0.126281 0.204105 0.350528 0.687323
2025-12-28 0.040240 0.057273 0.083417 0.128991 0.212548 0.374422 0.762710
2026-01-04 0.039482 0.056686 0.083424 0.130766 0.219372 0.395788 0.836218
2026-01-11 0.038291 0.055365 0.082168 0.130230 0.221715 0.408035 0.889084
2026-01-18 0.037229 0.054202 0.081111 0.129976 0.224565 0.421646 0.948236
2026-01-25 0.036007 0.052735 0.079480 0.128576 0.225013 0.429997 0.994642